Optimum Population Trust
  home   |  news   |  UK population   |  blog   |  about us   |  contact   |  join OPT!

UK population growth 1750-2008

Download PDF version of this web page.

UK population reached 61.4 million by 2008 and has been growing by more than 400,000 a year. Our numbers have grown by more than a fifth since 1950 - in less than a lifetime, in one of the most densely populated countries in the world. At the recent growth rate of 0.6% a year, population would reach 100 million before the end of this century, passing 200 million soon after 2200. ONS projections published in 2008 exceeded the previous four projections. On 23 October 2007 2006-based population projections released by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed expected population growth of nearly 17 million (more than two Londons) to 77.2 million in 2050, and on 19 November 2008 migration figures for 2007 revealed a near record net inward flow of 237,000 people, pushing up population growth to a staggering 434,554. Although a third* of the public believe population growth to be the most serious threat to the future wellbeing of Britain, no political party has a clear policy to reverse it. Act now. Call for an population policy - stabilisation and gradual decrease by 2050. See Fertility, Migration, OPT Policies, OPT Population policy projections and Briefings and Submissions for population policy alternatives.

PROJECTED UK POPULATION GROWTH (MILLIONS, PRINCIPAL PROJECTION, 2006-based, published October 2007)

Mid-2005 Mid-2006 Mid-2010 Mid-2020 Mid-2031 Mid-2041 Mid-2051 Mid-2061 Mid-2071 Mid-2076
60.587 62.309 66.754 71.100 74.306 77.236 79.831 82.478 83.878

PROJECTED UK POPULATION GROWTH (MILLIONS, PRINCIPAL PROJECTION, 2004-based, published October 2005)

Mid-2005 Mid-2006 Mid-2010 Mid-2020 Mid-2031 Mid-2041 Mid-2051 Mid-2061 Mid-2071 Mid-2074
60.218 60.533 61.619 64.449 67.013 68.353 69.252 69.858 70.481 70.691

PAST POPULATION GROWTH 1750-2008


Year to UK Population Millions
(Mid-Year)
Total pop growth
NI+NM previous 12 months
Live births previous 12 months Deaths
previous 12 months
Natural increase (NI) previous 12 months Net legal immigration (NM) previous 12 months Notes
End-2008
708,708 504,052 England & Wales only,
ONS, 21 May 2009
End-2007 61.410
434,554 772,192 574,638 197,554 237,000 Births & Deaths ONS, GROS, NISRA
Migration ONS 19 Nov 08
Mid-2007 60.975
(+0.6%)
388,000 758,000 571,000 187,000 198,000 ONS 21 Aug 08
End-2006
367,339 748,563 572,224 176,339 191,000 ONS 24 Sep 07
+ GRO Scot, NISRA
Mid-2006 60.587
(+0.6%)
349,000 734,000 575,000 159,000 190,000 ONS 22 August 2007
End-2005
343,600 722,600 583,000 139,600 204,000 ONS 2 Nov 2006
HSQ 31 Autumn 2006
Mid-2005 60.238
(+0.7%)
393,000 717,500 590,600 126,800 266,000 ONS 22 Aug 2007
End 2004 375,205 715,996 584,791 131,205 244,000 HSQ 27 Autumn 05
Mig ONS 15 Nov 07
Mid-2004 59.846
(+0.47%)
289,000 707,100 603,100 104,000 185,000 ONS 22 Aug 2007
End 2003 230,492 695,525 612,033 83,492 147,000
ONS
Mid- 20032
59.557
(+0.39%)
234,000 681,700 604,800 76,900 157,000 ONS Pop Trends 126
End 2002 216,500 668,800 606,300 62,500 154,000 Mig ONS 13 Nov 2003
Mid- 20022 59.324
(+0.35%)
210,000 663,000 601,000 62,000 148,000 ONS 22 Aug 2007
End 2001 239,800 669,100 602,300 66,800 173,000 ONS Pop Trends 2006
Mid-20012
59.113 227,000 674,000 599,000 74,000 153,000 ONS Pop Trends 126
Mid-20002 58.886 202,000 688,000 626,000 62,000 139,000
ONS Pop Trends 126
Mid-19992 58.684 209,000 713,000 634,000 77,000 133,000 ONS Pop Trends 126
Mid-19982 58.475 161,000 718,000 617,000 100,000 60,000 ONS Pop Trends 126
Mid 19972 58.314 150,000 740,000 637,000 103,000 47,000 ONS Pop Trends 126
Mid-19962 58.164 140,000 722,000 645,000 77,000 62,000 ONS Pop Trends 126
Mid-1995 58.025 163,000 175,400 1ONS Pop Trends 126
Mid-1994 57.862 148,000 176,800 ONS Pop Trends 126
Mid-1993 57.714 114,000 1-1,200 ONS Pop Trends 126
Mid-1992 57.600 200,000 10,000 ONS Pop Trends 134
Mid-1991 57.400 Social Trends 2006, ONS
Mid-1990 57.561 ONS Pop Trends 90
Mid-1970 55.632 ODPM
Decade to End of period Ave annual total growth Ave annual live births Ave annual deaths Ave annual natural increase Ave annual
net migration
ONS Population and Vital Statistics Table 5.2
Mid-1991 57.439 108,000 757,000 655,000 103,000 5,000 Social Trends 37, ONS
Mid-1981 56.357 43,000 736,000 666,000 69,000 -27,000 Social Trends 37, ONS
Mid-1971 55.928 312,000 962,000 638,000 324,000 -12,000 Social Trends 37, ONS
Mid-1961 52.807 252,000 839,000 593,000 246,000 6,000 Social Trends 37, ONS
1941-1951 50.225 213,000 793,000 604,000 190,000 22,000 ONS Table 5.2
Mid-1931 46.038 201,000 824,000 555,000 268,000 -67,000 ONS Table 5.2
Mid-1921 44.027 195,000 975,000 689,000 286,000 -92,000 ONS Table 5.2
Mid-1911 42.082 385,000 1,091,000 624,000 467,000 -82,000 ONS Table 5.2
1901 5 38.237
1801 5 10.500
5Est 1750 5.600


FOOTNOTES

Annual population growth = natural increase (births minus deaths) + net migration, and migration also affects the number of births. Increasing life expectancy affects the number of deaths each year and later child-bearing and childlessness affect the number of births - these subcomponents are discussed on other sections of this website. ONS statistics are frequently retrospectively revised.

*Ipsos-Mori poll, August 2006

Retrospective revisions: UK population figures are often revised retrospectively over a period of several years - for example, those for mid-1995 to mid-2003 were 'smoothed' following the April 2001 Census. Population counting methods are known to have been inaccurate, and on 23 May 2008 the House of Commons Treasury Committee published its report Counting the Population, confirming flaws in official migration counting methods and suggesting ways of improving overall population counting . ONS Release of 2006 migration figures. Some figures may not correspond because of rounding or different statistical measuring methods. See also ONS Why is the UK population growing?

Sources: Natural increase (births minus deaths) from: Releases and Health Statistics Quarterly, ONS; General Register for Scotland, Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency (N.I. births are defined as live births to resident mothers). Other sources: Population figures from mid-1995 to mid-2003 from Table 1.6, p58, Population Trends 121, ONS, Autumn 2005. The latest (Mid-2006 based) UK Principal Population Projection was published by the Government Actuary's Department on 23 October 2007. Some births and deaths occur within the UK to people not 'usually resident' in the UK. Births have exceeded deaths in every year since 1901 except 1976. Illegal immigration cannot be fully counted. UK Population Millions 1971-1995 are taken from ONS figures, Table D6900, Population Trends 112. Census figures for the early 19th century are estimates, since registration of births in England and Wales did not begin until 1837. 1Migration figures were revised upwards by the Office of National Statistics in June 2003. Official (November 2002) population projections by the Government Actuary's Department were based on continued net inward migration of 100,000 a year, a figure now acknowledged to be a significant underestimate. GAD's mid-2006 based principal projection (October 2007) assumes a net inward flow of 190,000. ONS Revised net immigration figures include asylum seekers but do not include illegal immigrants. For further details see Office of National Statistics. 2 These (retrospectively) revised population estimates were published on 9 September 2004 (for mid-2001 and mid-2002) and 7 October 2004 (for mid-1992 to mid-2000), following the local authority population studies which followed the Census in 2001. These revisions replace all earlier versions. 5 Census results - the Census 1801 figure excludes Northern Ireland. The figure for 1750 is an estimate, for England and Wales only. The United Kingdom incorporates Great Britain (England, Wales and Scotland) and Northern Ireland. Statistics for constituent parts of the UK are available from the Office of National Statistics.


EMAIL THIS PAGE TO A FRIEND!

This website launched June 2002
  This page last updated 29 June 2009